Amazon Inc Stock Performance
| AMZN Stock | USD 239.30 2.43 1.01% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.12, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Amazon returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Amazon is expected to follow. At this point, Amazon Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0836%. Please make sure to confirm Amazon's coefficient of variation, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Amazon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Amazon Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Amazon is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.01) | Five Day Return (0.28) | Year To Date Return 5.65 | Ten Year Return 732.64 | All Time Return 244.3 K |
Last Split Factor 20:1 | Last Split Date 2022-06-06 |
1 | 2 No-Brainer AI Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in 2026 | 01/13/2026 |
2 | Amazon Seen as One of the Strongest AI Bull Cases Heading Into 2026, Bernstein Says | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Altman pursues Middle East capital as OpenAI seeks 800 billion valuation - Report | 01/21/2026 |
4 | Amazon.com Inc.s AWS Struck a Deal with Rio Tinto Group, Bloomberg Reported | 01/23/2026 |
5 | Amazon.com Shares Up 2.6 percent Should You Buy | 01/27/2026 |
6 | Amazon in Talks to Invest 50 Billion in OpenAI, Expand Ties | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 73.9 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -94.3 B |
Amazon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 25,400 in Amazon Inc on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,470) from holding Amazon Inc or give up 5.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.5908% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Amazon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Amazon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Amazon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 239.30 | 90 days | 239.30 | about 28.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amazon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.05 (This Amazon Inc probability density function shows the probability of Amazon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This suggests Amazon Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Amazon is expected to follow. Additionally Amazon Inc has an alpha of 0.0515, implying that it can generate a 0.0515 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amazon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amazon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amazon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amazon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amazon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amazon Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amazon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Amazon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amazon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amazon Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Amazon Inc currently holds 130.9 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amazon Inc has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amazon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Amazon Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of Amazon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Amazon in Talks to Invest 50 Billion in OpenAI, Expand Ties |
Amazon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amazon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amazon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amazon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.2 B |
Amazon Fundamentals Growth
Amazon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amazon, and Amazon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amazon Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.075 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.63 T | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.69 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 83.26 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.11 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.70 X | ||||
| Revenue | 637.96 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 345.98 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 123.81 B | ||||
| Net Income | 59.25 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 78.78 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.75 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 130.9 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 34.59 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 115.88 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.01 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.56 T | ||||
| Total Asset | 624.89 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 172.87 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 11.44 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 35.7 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 33.89 B | ||||
About Amazon Performance
By examining Amazon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Amazon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Amazon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 34.45 | 31.28 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.14 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | 0.20 |
Things to note about Amazon Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amazon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amazon Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amazon Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amazon Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Amazon Inc currently holds 130.9 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amazon Inc has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Amazon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Amazon Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of Amazon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Amazon in Talks to Invest 50 Billion in OpenAI, Expand Ties |
- Analyzing Amazon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amazon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Amazon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Amazon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amazon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amazon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amazon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amazon Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Amazon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amazon. If investors know Amazon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amazon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.364 | Earnings Share 7.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amazon's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amazon represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amazon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.